AMD, Nvidia, Intel Face AI Chip Export Ban to China

U.S. Export Restrictions Put Pressure on AI Chip Giants

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has revealed it could face a significant financial setback of approximately $800 million following new U.S. government restrictions on exporting AI chips to China and certain other regions. The charge relates to inventory, purchase commitments, and reserves tied to its MI308 GPU products, now caught in the crosshairs of geopolitical tensions.

License Uncertainty and Stock Impact

In a recent SEC filing dated April 15, 2025, AMD completed its initial review of the export rules. These restrictions apply to semiconductor shipments destined for China, Hong Kong, Macau, and countries designated under the D:5 group. While AMD plans to apply for the required licenses, it noted that there is no guarantee these licenses will be granted.

Investors reacted swiftly, and AMD shares dropped approximately 6% in early morning trading, highlighting market concerns about the implications for future earnings and business strategy.

Nvidia and Intel Also Affected by New Rules

Nvidia Faces a $5.5 Billion Hit

AMD’s announcement follows Nvidia’s disclosure that it expects a $5.5 billion charge in Q1 due to the same export control measures. The updated U.S. policy directly impacts Nvidia’s H20 AI chip, which was built specifically for the Chinese market.

Intel’s Gaudi Series in the Spotlight

Intel, too, has informed its Chinese clients that new licenses will be required for chips meeting specific performance thresholds such as DRAM bandwidth above 1,400 GB/s, I/O bandwidth over 1,100 GB/s, or a combined total exceeding 1,700 GB/s. This notably affects its Gaudi AI processors, while its CPU offerings reportedly remain unaffected.

Washington’s Push to Safeguard AI Dominance

National Security at the Core

U.S. officials have voiced growing concerns over China’s access to advanced AI technology. The Commerce Department confirmed the new licensing requirements are in line with the President’s directive to protect national and economic security.

Restricting GPU exports is seen as a strategic move to preserve the U.S.’s lead in AI innovation and to mitigate risks associated with foreign use of cutting-edge computing power.

AI Chip Industry Faces a New Era of Uncertainty

Market Momentum Slows

The AI chip sector has been experiencing strong growth over the past two years, driven by rising industry demand. But that momentum appears to be stalling as tariff threats and licensing hurdles cloud the outlook.

AMD’s $800M Warning Signals Bigger Industry Risks

AMD’s potential $800 million charge underscores the broader financial impact of escalating export controls. The semiconductor industry now faces a period of uncertainty that could reshape strategies, supply chains, and innovation trajectories.

As AMD, Nvidia, and Intel await license decisions, the global tech community will be watching closely, knowing that the results could set the tone for the future of AI chip trade and international tech relations.